Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1568
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sat Jul 15 2023 23:40:27

ACUS11 KWNS 152340
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 152339=20
SCZ000-NCZ000-GAZ000-160045-

Mesoscale Discussion 1568
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0639 PM CDT Sat Jul 15 2023

Areas affected...Western/central South Carolina...far east-central
Georgia

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 152339Z - 160045Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

SUMMARY...Isolated potentially damaging wind gusts (40-50 mph) are
possible with storms moving through western/central South Carolina.

DISCUSSION...Mid-level ascent on the southern fringe of a shortwave
trough has helped to initiate storms in northern Georgia. This
broken line of storms has become marginally more organized as it has
moved east into western South Carolina. KCAE velocity data shows
some areas of enhanced inbounds indicative of stronger downburst
winds. This is most pronounced with the storm near Greenwood, SC.
Storms will continue to move into a moderately buoyant airmass
(MLCAPE of around 2000 J/kg). Potentially damaging wind gusts
(perhaps 40-50mph ) will be possible with the strongest downdrafts.
Storms will eventually begin to weaken as they interact with
convective outflow from the Atlantic sea breeze convection.

...Wendt/Smith.. 07/15/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!6aGxcwHGsm4V-CxdPRtVNhMmYCjbvayAQ85iX4ekFnb89VCDlV1sexBvwp3cW7EPn_HCJ0DxK=
aa0xumlL1V4fXQRcoE$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...CAE...GSP...FFC...

LAT...LON   33458276 35168208 35038084 34608073 33868088 33588108
            33268160 33238211 33458276=20


=3D =3D =3D
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