Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1559
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sat Jul 15 2023 01:28:46

ACUS11 KWNS 150128
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 150128=20
OKZ000-150300-

Mesoscale Discussion 1559
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0828 PM CDT Fri Jul 14 2023

Areas affected...Parts of northwest and central Oklahoma

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 493...

Valid 150128Z - 150300Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 493
continues.

SUMMARY...Storms in northwest Oklahoma appear likely to impact parts
of central Oklahoma this evening. While they may be slightly
elevated, large hail and isolated strong/damaging winds may still
occur. A new watch or local extension of WW 493 may be needed.

DISCUSSION...A few strong/severe storms have developed along a
southward moving outflow boundary in northwest Oklahoma late in the
afternoon. Large hail has been reported with these storms in
Woodward. With the outflow continuing to move south per local radar
imagery/surface observations, these storms may have a tendency to
become slightly elevated. With steep mid-level lapse rates and
moderate deep-layer shear observed on the 00Z Norman sounding, large
hail will continue to be a possibility. Strong/damaging wind gusts
would be possible with storms that can remain south of the outflow
or if storms can grow upscale with time. The overall coverage of
storms into central Oklahoma is not certain given the MLCIN also
observed on the Norman sounding, weak low-level convergence, and an
expected weak low-level jet. Depending on convective trends, a new
watch or local extension of WW 493 may be needed.

...Wendt.. 07/15/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!_RNeihofxkjnALJ5-qUMJAtDiMdrBXYC_V3P9L8L_Tvh9OMmGvHy3BEAlQQqPcxpF17i10Wu8=
hUoInyT9peidqD0k0A$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN...

LAT...LON   35469946 35839994 35899998 36049998 36209998 36389980
            36559953 36599858 36189754 35959704 35599659 35139652
            35029752 35199887 35369923 35469946=20


=3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to
https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link.  Otherwise email
Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.14-Linux
 * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

.