Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1554
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Fri Jul 14 2023 22:47:13

ACUS11 KWNS 142247
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 142246=20
MOZ000-KSZ000-150015-

Mesoscale Discussion 1554
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0546 PM CDT Fri Jul 14 2023

Areas affected...Southeast Kansas into southwest Missouri

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 491...493...

Valid 142246Z - 150015Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 491, 493
continues.

SUMMARY...An intense bowing segment has continued to report measures
severe wind gusts over the past hour. This activity will continue
into southwest Missouri. Despite some less favorable thermodynamics
downstream, the threat for wind damage and severe gusts will persist
for a few more hours.

DISCUSSION...An intense bowing segment in southeast Kansas will
continue into southwest Missouri. Recent ASOS observations from
Chanute, KS measured 60 kts  and the Yates Center, KS mesonet site
measured 73 kts, both near the apex of the bow. The downstream
environment will remain favorable in southeast Kansas. Greater
uncertainty exists into southwest Missouri where outflow has
impacted the overall surface-based instability. Temperatures have
risen into the upper 80s/lower 90s F and objective analysis has
indicated some increase in MLCAPE as a result, however. Given the
storm-scale organization, the threat for wind damage and severe wind
gusts will likely continue even with slightly less favorable
thermodynamics.

...Wendt.. 07/14/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!4gro7elN0YcifEZGSrT7Trki7uSMoyyyTxqi8DMbfvz3QYFy57GxPEkqkL6kcO32NDTGcBDcG=
81HFmjGFIBX-vFWkPI$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TOP...ICT...

LAT...LON   37459619 37689591 37879568 38309571 38269416 37749292
            37299267 37029305 36959411 37229560 37459619=20


=3D =3D =3D
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