Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1533
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Fri Jul 14 2023 00:04:34

ACUS11 KWNS 140004
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 140004=20
WIZ000-ILZ000-IAZ000-140100-

Mesoscale Discussion 1533
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0704 PM CDT Thu Jul 13 2023

Areas affected...Central Wisconsin into northern Illinois

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 140004Z - 140100Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

SUMMARY...Small to marginally severe hail is possible until after
sunset.

DISCUSSION...A few marginal supercell storms have formed within a
convergence axis from central Wisconsin into northern Illinois.
Moderate northwesterly flow aloft will continue to support some
storm organization. Given the overall weak forcing, these storms
will likely weaken after sunset. Small to marginally severe hail
(around 1 inch) may occur on an isolated basis.

...Wendt/Guyer.. 07/14/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!-ibylecf_QGDDheGwknAy1GuZeh8BT4_SF1WzAKp3ari_c5InZsBv2LXVBLMJkpTfDttppJ9e=
R_UyhDGh9SqKrIktKQ$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...GRB...LOT...MKX...DVN...ARX...MPX...

LAT...LON   42109030 42459032 43119040 43939059 44839117 45119111
            45079072 44829017 44198939 43678907 42788832 42468823
            42148837 41778841 41568888 41599004 41929029 42109030=20


=3D =3D =3D
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