Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1527
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Thu Jul 13 2023 20:42:31

ACUS11 KWNS 132042
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 132042=20
WVZ000-OHZ000-KYZ000-132215-

Mesoscale Discussion 1527
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0342 PM CDT Thu Jul 13 2023

Areas affected...Portions of southern OH...northern KY...and WV

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 482...

Valid 132042Z - 132215Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 482
continues.

SUMMARY...Damaging winds and severe hail will remain a concern as
thunderstorms move eastward this afternoon and early evening.

DISCUSSION...Thunderstorms that have matured this afternoon remain
confined in a fairly narrow east-west corridor along/near the Ohio
River. Some of this convection has exhibited supercellular
characteristics, with around 30-40 kt of deep-layer shear providing
supporting updraft organization. Strong instability, with MLCAPE
ranging from 2000-3000 J/kg, will easily support continued
thunderstorm intensity for the next couple of hours. Isolated large
hail will remain a possibility with any supercell that remains
discrete. Otherwise, damaging winds should become an increasing
concern as convection will probably tend to grow upscale into small
bowing clusters while moving eastward across northern KY, southern
OH and WV.

...Gleason.. 07/13/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!_TS0K0zQeHR6iYZ32olsKgbM2rGrolDFAwv0ZnZUVxVBEyFJAbyJaYyAsNklCj01phfCrVwVs=
l2xDUDGCDolX4ZxTXg$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...RNK...PBZ...RLX...JKL...ILN...LMK...

LAT...LON   39218468 39538312 39738198 39708083 39457987 39097952
            38327981 37838025 38338330 38718474 39218468=20


=3D =3D =3D
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