Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1514
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Thu Jul 13 2023 05:00:25

ACUS11 KWNS 130500
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 130459=20
MIZ000-OHZ000-130630-

Mesoscale Discussion 1514
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1159 PM CDT Wed Jul 12 2023

Areas affected...Southeast Lower MI into extreme northwest OH

Concerning...Tornado Watch 478...

Valid 130459Z - 130630Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 478 continues.

SUMMARY...Some threat for isolated damaging wind and/or a brief
tornado continues.

DISCUSSION...Widespread convection is ongoing early this morning in
association with an MCV and related surface low across southeast
lower MI. The KDTX VWP continues to depict a very favorable wind
profile for organized convection, with backed low-level winds and a
40-50 kt low-level jet. However, storm intensity continues to be
limited by weak instability, and this will likely remain the case as
convection spreads towards the remainder of southeast lower MI.
Locally damaging gusts and perhaps a brief tornado will remain
possible with ongoing convection until storms clear WW 478.

...Dean.. 07/13/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!9979D_Aa8v6H5HkHlUO5BpVXA_x_0TRMg-AUHrQaUK7PI8lXbY83GPVHVCbbwMc6RLFgYAkRe=
R9P5Rs7BpdUIst_iao$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...CLE...DTX...IWX...

LAT...LON   42788359 42898287 42678234 42098228 41808262 41618331
            41558436 41628466 41758465 41978420 42338385 42788359=20


=3D =3D =3D
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