Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1470
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sun Jul 09 2023 08:38:51

ACUS11 KWNS 090838
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 090838=20
TXZ000-OKZ000-091015-

Mesoscale Discussion 1470
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0338 AM CDT Sun Jul 09 2023

Areas affected...portions of western and central OK into north TX

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 463...

Valid 090838Z - 091015Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 463
continues.

SUMMARY...Gusts to 70 mph and isolated hail to 2 inches possible the
next 1-2 hours across WW 463.

DISCUSSION...A well organized bowing segment is tracking across
southwest OK early this morning at around 50 kt. Several gusts to 70
mph have been measured over the past 1-2 hours. This bow will
continue to move across an area characterized by 1500-2000 J/kg
MUCAPE and 35+ kt effective shear magnitudes. Boundary-layer
inhibition increases markedly south of the Red River. However, a
75-85 kt rear inflow jet, as sampled by KFDR, will likely maintain
severe gust potential the next couple of hours as the bow approaches
the Red River. A moist and unstable airmass is in place across north
Texas, and severe gust potential may persist outside of WW 463.=20

Additional more isolated/semi-discrete supercells are developing in
a band from the OKC Metro east/southeast toward southeast OK in warm
advection ahead of the advancing bow. These supercells may continue
to pose a risk for strong/severe gusts and large hail around 1-2 in
diameter.

A new severe thunderstorm watch may be needed soon downstream into
south-central/southeast OK and north Texas.

...Leitman.. 07/09/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!-eLnQrLiHAQ7nf4U2Sp4nYHi5Yq2IUVaJuNIXCFbcbE10ed1m-po_shLkJxN1bvDp3IPK-EaA=
1gp4Nl7aope2VxxJ8Q$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...SHV...TSA...FWD...OUN...

LAT...LON   34589989 35119957 35409894 35719783 35639726 34879564
            34169526 33649520 33319549 33159633 33149735 33279808
            33479861 33769928 34209968 34589989=20


=3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to
https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link.  Otherwise email
Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.14-Linux
 * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

.