Subj : DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok To : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu From : COD Weather Processor Date : Sun Jul 09 2023 07:27:22 ACUS03 KWNS 090727 SWODY3 SPC AC 090726 Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0226 AM CDT Sun Jul 09 2023 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ....THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS/MID-MISSOURI VALLEY... ....SUMMARY... Greatest risk for severe storms on Tuesday appears likely to reside over the central Plains/Mid-Missouri Valley area. ....Northern High Plains into the Mid-Missouri Valley, and east to Lower Michigan... A cold front is forecast to continue sagging slowly southward across the north-central U.S. Tuesday, and is expected to extend from Lower Michigan westward to Nebraska, and then northwestward across the northern High Plains during the afternoon. Diurnal heating/destabilization along the boundary will permit isolated storm development to occur. With moderate west-northwesterly mid-level flow across this region, a few stronger storms are expected during the afternoon, with hail and locally damaging wind gusts possible. Greatest storm coverage/severe potential may evolve initially across Nebraska, near the anticipated location of the intersection of the front, and the lee trough where a weak frontal low is expected. Substantial strengthening of a southwesterly low-level jet across the central Plains will likely permit upscale growth of storms across Nebraska, which would likely move southeastward with time. At least some severe risk would likely accompany these storms into the overnight hours. ....Arklatex vicinity to Florida... Scattered to isolated thunderstorms may be ongoing at the start of the period, along a cold front forecast to extend from northern Florida west-northwestward across Louisiana to the North Texas/Oklahoma vicinity. During the day, as heating/destabilization occurs in the vicinity of the front, storms will likely develop/increase in coverage locally. Given a belt of modestly enhanced, cyclonic westerly flow along the boundary, a few stronger storms -- possibly accompanied by risk for locally damaging winds -- are expected. Risk should continue through the afternoon, before a weakening trend begins by early evening. ...Goss.. 07/09/2023 $$ = = = To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM. --- SBBSecho 3.14-Linux * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105) .