Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1429
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Wed Jul 05 2023 05:49:03

ACUS11 KWNS 050548
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 050548=20
MOZ000-KSZ000-050715-

Mesoscale Discussion 1429
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1248 AM CDT Wed Jul 05 2023

Areas affected...Portions of eastern/southeastern KS and western MO

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 448...

Valid 050548Z - 050715Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 448
continues.

SUMMARY...An MCS should continue to produce 55-70 mph wind gusts for
a couple more hours as it moves southeastward.

DISCUSSION...Multiple measured severe wind gusts from 58-67 mph have
recently been observed with an organized line of convection across
far eastern into southeastern KS and western MO. Outflow from these
thunderstorms has started to surge out well ahead of reflectivities
across parts of southeastern KS. The southern portion of the line
may slowly weaken and tend to become more elevated in response. The
northern half of the MCS is now crossing the KS/MO line, with
enhanced velocities noted on area radars. Severe/damaging winds
around 55-70 mph should continue to be a threat in the short term
across far eastern KS into western MO, as the downstream airmass
appears to be sufficiently unstable to support surface-based
convection for at least a couple more hours. Given current trends,
some expansion in area for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 448 may need to
be considered in parts of west-central MO.

...Gleason.. 07/05/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!7C69GGasuLiUPyeLLNIYE7scwapyq5UTZ0sMzO86yTx6gt6D9Uk-GtAnnIosuoDMXhzox4WN2=
1Eg4x5e5vFI_76oSqY$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TOP...ICT...

LAT...LON   38099705 38369598 38989515 39729459 39559333 38659345
            37369405 37089495 37049648 37489705 38099705=20


=3D =3D =3D
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