Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1424
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Tue Jul 04 2023 23:14:30

ACUS11 KWNS 042314
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 042314=20
COZ000-NEZ000-WYZ000-050045-

Mesoscale Discussion 1424
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0614 PM CDT Tue Jul 04 2023

Areas affected...Eastern Colorado...southeast Wyoming...southern
Nebraska Panhandle

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 444...

Valid 042314Z - 050045Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 444
continues.

SUMMARY...Severe risk continues initially across southeast Colorado
early this evening, with severe-weather potential expected to
increase across the northern Colorado mountains toward the
foothills/urban corridor, as well as far southeast Wyoming, through
early/mid-evening. Severe Thunderstorm Watch 444 continues until 11
pm MDT.

DISCUSSION...Strong/occasionally severe storms will continue across
the southeast Colorado Plains into this evening, with such storms
currently scattered in a general corridor from Colorado Springs to
La Junta/Lamar as of 5pm MDT. These storms will remain capable of
localized bouts of hail and severe-caliber wind gusts as they
progress through the instability axis, although storm organization
will likely remain a bit more limited with southward extent (toward
the NM/OK/KS border vicinity) amid weaker deep-layer wind profiles.

Otherwise, scattered strong/severe thunderstorms have increased over
the northern Colorado mountains, including near the Medicine Bow
Mountains and I-80 corridor of far southern Wyoming. These storms
are being influenced by a mid-level speed max that is readily
inferred from satellite imagery and sampled by regional WSR-88D VWP
data. These storms are likely to persist eastward, along with the
possibility of additional development, and pose an increasing severe
risk over the next few hours toward the urban areas/I-25 corridor of
northern Colorado/southeast Wyoming and the nearby plains.

...Guyer.. 07/04/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!7SBqH-BtZlrJBFmQRiALO55-57hV2y1xQKluh0AIkBBEBjdQ7Fc1Q_f57P5iI_L5TSqxfM6nj=
NzbpGFvaa8h7cCTygo$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...GLD...PUB...BOU...CYS...

LAT...LON   41710649 42060462 41150264 39350249 37720206 37040311
            38220481 39150525 40140590 40710645 41710649=20


=3D =3D =3D
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