Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1399
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Mon Jul 03 2023 03:58:13

ACUS11 KWNS 030358
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 030357=20
WVZ000-VAZ000-KYZ000-030530-

Mesoscale Discussion 1399
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1057 PM CDT Sun Jul 02 2023

Areas affected...Southeast KY into western VA and southern WV

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 436...

Valid 030357Z - 030530Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 436
continues.

SUMMARY...Some potential for isolated damaging wind may linger into
the overnight hours, but the threat is expected to become
increasingly marginal with time.

DISCUSSION...At 0345 UTC, a small bowing storm cluster is ongoing
south of Jackson, KY, with another weakening cluster moving into
southern WV. Moderate west-southwesterly deep-layer flow (as noted
on the KJKL VWP) will continue to support modestly organized
convection in the short term, with an attendant threat of localized
damaging gusts. However, increasing MLCINH with time and eastward
extent should generally result in a gradual weakening trend
overnight as storms attempt to cross the higher terrain. While some
threat for isolated damaging wind may linger into the overnight
hours, the remaining threat is expected to become increasingly
marginal, and additional watch issuance is not expected when WW 436
expires at 04 UTC.

...Dean.. 07/03/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!9btpIvx6jfDESJsTxZmdJ4_atvbnAauAZjb7shfEpB1ZcGt6NSd6-FzK7pSm5BMK5IiF9ohjO=
P29plRzfOgQXXi2VjQ$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...RNK...RLX...MRX...JKL...

LAT...LON   37268383 37318295 37808179 38238135 38508113 38508073
            38248016 37718052 37128098 36848154 36708234 36658318
            36778420 37268383=20


=3D =3D =3D
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