Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1346
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Thu Jun 29 2023 23:14:41

ACUS11 KWNS 292314
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 292314=20
MIZ000-WIZ000-MNZ000-300015-

Mesoscale Discussion 1346
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0614 PM CDT Thu Jun 29 2023

Areas affected...Parts of northwestern Wisconsin

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 292314Z - 300015Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

SUMMARY...Marginally severe hail and locally damaging gusts are
possible on an isolated basis during the next couple of hours.

DISCUSSION...Isolated thunderstorms are spreading eastward in parts
of northwestern Wisconsin this evening, in the vicinity of the left
exit region of a midlevel jet streak. Given a moist/unstable
boundary layer and around 30 kt of effective shear (characterized by
a long/mostly straight hodograph), a few transient/semi-discrete
supercell structures are possible. Marginally severe hail and
locally damaging gusts could accompany the stronger/longer-lived
cores during the next couple of hours before the boundary layer
begins to stabilize.

...Weinman/Hart.. 06/29/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!7pfRT2wJKMgeHBYaELIqwYliAer8j9VTf2if69YA4Adf3PciCwV0pRKuYWB3V5nP4XTgjQJQL=
KXx77k5NEZKNF9r63A$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MQT...DLH...ARX...MPX...

LAT...LON   44929262 45629229 46349221 46749193 46929146 47039077
            46869032 46549014 45799027 45129067 44719113 44489167
            44419201 44499242 44679264 44929262=20


=3D =3D =3D
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