Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1298
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Tue Jun 27 2023 04:22:28

ACUS11 KWNS 270422
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 270421 COR
NCZ000-SCZ000-GAZ000-270615-

Mesoscale Discussion 1298
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1121 PM CDT Mon Jun 26 2023

Areas affected...central and eastern South Carolina/eastern North
Carolina

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 398...

Valid 270421Z - 270615Z

CORRECTED TO CHANGE SOUTH DAKOTA TO SOUTH CAROLINA IN THE TEXT

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 398
continues.

SUMMARY...Severe risk persists across eastern North Carolina, and
the northern half of South Carolina, ahead of ongoing storms.=20
Locally gusty/damaging winds will be the primary severe risks over
the next couple of hours.

DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows two clusters of strong/locally
severe storms -- one arcing band of storms cross the North Carolina
Piedmont, and a second, west-to-east band of storms crossing parts
of northern and central South Carolina.  Given the pre-frontal axis
of instability (mixed-layer CAPE in the 2000 to 2500 J/kg range),
storms will likely continue over the next few hours, before
eventually moving offshore.

Until then, with ample shear being provided by the moderate
deep-layer cyclonic westerlies aloft, potential for locally strong
wind gusts will continue with the strongest storms/storm segments.

...Goss.. 06/27/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!5wCBt8W1sR8wAuBfqzlYxDDMUxHvgJuOXhG92utjjMxCJrt9Qcmi7F9kXzDazkSbu10SwgERc=
DlxB_DtU1i3boreCwk$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...CHS...CAE...

LAT...LON   33358196 33848196 34358043 35237973 35667834 36517656
            36507572 35657521 33097900 33358196=20


=3D =3D =3D
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