Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1223
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Fri Jun 23 2023 21:29:55

ACUS11 KWNS 232129
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 232129=20
FLZ000-232330-

Mesoscale Discussion 1223
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0429 PM CDT Fri Jun 23 2023

Areas affected...Parts of central and southern Florida

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 232129Z - 232330Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

SUMMARY...A couple loosely organized storms capable of wind damage
and marginal hail are possible this afternoon.

DISCUSSION...Isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms are ongoing
across parts of central and southern Florida this afternoon,
generally focused along a southwest/northeast-oriented confluence
band and sea breeze boundaries. Given continued diurnal
destabilization of a moist air mass (lower/middle 70s dewpoints)
beneath steeper-than-average midlevel lapse rates, storms could
continue to strengthen through the afternoon. And, 30 kt of midlevel
flow (sampled by the MLB VWP) could aid in some updraft
organization. As storms generally spread northeastward toward the
coast, locally damaging gusts and marginal hail could accompany any
loosely organized clusters this afternoon. The threat should
generally remain localized and marginal.

...Weinman/Thompson.. 06/23/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!9opq_B3oz1vF9De70o9-sroxsmBIVPv5qoStTJOWIC7ueO-C8AQ3cf7YsiJZ9thV37TvrLT9t=
SGrCMsanMDX7DlOMSM$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MFL...MLB...TBW...

LAT...LON   26928046 26528072 26228109 26348162 27208166 27638169
            28268178 28768136 28758070 28158040 27408025 26928046=20


=3D =3D =3D
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