Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1214
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Fri Jun 23 2023 00:09:47

ACUS11 KWNS 230009
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 230009=20
OKZ000-TXZ000-230115-

Mesoscale Discussion 1214
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0709 PM CDT Thu Jun 22 2023

Areas affected...Southwest/Central OK and western North Texas

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 360...

Valid 230009Z - 230115Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 360
continues.

SUMMARY...Severe risk through around sunset should remain focused in
two general areas, along/south of the Red River into western North
Texas as well as central Oklahoma.

DISCUSSION...Early this evening, the most intense storm/supercell
potential is expected to remain semi-focused across western North
Texas near the northwest/southeast-oriented boundary where
instability is maximized. SPC objective analysis reflects around
2250-2500 J/kg MLCAPE in this corridor coincident with around 45 kt
effective shear. Large hail (1.75" diameter in Hardeman Co. TX) has
been recently reported, and should remain a continued risk through
at least around sunset.

Farther north, a cluster of storms will continue to move eastward
and potentially pose a severe risk into the OKC metro area/I-35
corridor, mostly in the form of damaging winds/marginally severe
hail.

...Guyer.. 06/23/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!4flzTA25h3Hx8BLbR5yzHMrId0ioNf_SSbcjlYfPTQOIT46U3stmAbvKuCpCUNNQuj1RDS_Is=
Ths_CXFagdbZ3vfJrQ$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...OUN...

LAT...LON   34059998 34339987 34589869 35219851 35639838 35719787
            35649714 34859698 34269795 33479877 33449923 33699965
            34059998=20


=3D =3D =3D
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