Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1198
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Thu Jun 22 2023 01:04:58

ACUS11 KWNS 220104
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 220104=20
KSZ000-COZ000-220300-

Mesoscale Discussion 1198
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0804 PM CDT Wed Jun 21 2023

Areas affected...Southeastern Colorado and far western Kansas

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 352...

Valid 220104Z - 220300Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 352
continues.

SUMMARY...Isolated large to very large hail remains possible in
southeast Colorado this evening. There is some potential for upscale
growth to occur in northeast/east-central Colorado and impact
southeast Colorado and perhaps far western Kansas.

DISCUSSION...A few isolated strong to severe storms continue in
southeastern Colorado early this evening. These storms will continue
to pose a threat for large to potentially very large hail (2.75 inch
hail was measured near Las Animas around 6 PM MDT). Farther north
near I-70, a cluster of supercells has merged into a dominant cell
with mesovortex characteristics. This activity may continue to grow
upscale and move southeastward into the buoyancy axis. Should this
occur, a corridor of greater wind damage potential will develop.
Some of this activity could move into parts of far western Kansas.
Convective trends will need to be monitored for a possible watch for
far western Kansas. Timing remains uncertain, however.

...Wendt.. 06/22/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!-RTgSOhwNzCP16Q8pYRsadMleS4Yxia8G8o1D-tC8EHO5Op0XtqZZcBHzTRNiJ9LI8VaWFGxG=
zwFZqFl9PCMi3NoiKQ$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD...PUB...BOU...

LAT...LON   37230337 37550383 38040407 38580404 38880357 38900348
            39560279 39750252 39560196 38790148 37930118 37190115
            37030134 37020169 37080183 37040219 37040286 37230337=20


=3D =3D =3D
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