Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1195
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Wed Jun 21 2023 23:08:27

ACUS11 KWNS 212308
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 212307=20
NEZ000-COZ000-WYZ000-220030-

Mesoscale Discussion 1195
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0607 PM CDT Wed Jun 21 2023

Areas affected...Southeast Wyoming into Northeast Colorado

Concerning...Tornado Watch 350...

Valid 212307Z - 220030Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 350 continues.

SUMMARY...Large to very large hail and damaging winds will continue
to be a threat into the evening. Tornadoes will also remain possible
with the strongest storms, particularly those near the outflow
boundary.

DISCUSSION...Severe storms continue from southeast Wyoming into
northeast Colorado. The strongest activity has been in northeast
Colorado where moisture/buoyancy has been larger. Several large hail
reports, some 2-2.5 inches, have occurred from southwest Nebraska
into northeast Colorado. Tornadoes have also been observed as well
with those storms.

Outflow has been pushing westward from these storms and storm
motions have also been largely westward as they move into the the
axis of greatest buoyancy. The environment will remain favorable for
large to very large hail and damaging winds. Even with the outflow
pushing away from the storms, the environment is not prohibitive for
tornadoes. The strongest storms will still be capable of a tornado
given the sufficient low-level SRH.

...Wendt.. 06/21/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!4l7571IjA_lyrfZbOvGBK_RR-lKLKlB5yvwsASA6sP2UmnmHIwNIVkLRhUeAaNodBvoD-hDZy=
esyKgtg1F0uZACJ_3U$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...BOU...CYS...

LAT...LON   39650357 39910419 40520481 41260512 42050517 42560479
            42490423 42130366 41510342 40760313 40410302 39970314
            39650357=20


=3D =3D =3D
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