Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1162
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Mon Jun 19 2023 08:08:59

ACUS11 KWNS 190808
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 190808=20
ALZ000-MSZ000-191015-

Mesoscale Discussion 1162
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0308 AM CDT Mon Jun 19 2023

Areas affected...central and southern Mississippi into southwest
Alabama

Concerning...Tornado Watch 338...

Valid 190808Z - 191015Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 338 continues.

SUMMARY...Isolated severe storms remain possible within the watch
area, primarily from the complex of storms in east-central MS into
southwest AL. Nearby counties south and east of WW 338 may need to
be added, depending on storm trends.

DISCUSSION...A large complex of thunderstorms is beginning to
move/propagate east/southeastward as outflow surges south across
Jasper and Clark Counties in MS. This outflow boundary curls
northeastward into Choctaw County AL into a developing supercell.
Meanwhile, other storms were beginning to form over southern MS,
along the fringe of the tornado watch.=20

The environment remains very moist, unstable, and sheared, all
favoring supercells with brief tornado threat. While lift has been
weak, the very high dewpoints have kept CIN at a minimum. Any
further outflows or minor low-level confluence zones may yield
additional storms this morning.

...Jewell.. 06/19/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!5_J0YTwRBd0aGtA2hvur1yq7B2qWDq9I3jW4rQJvPGL5y5lnqcgQ3i-mhAeV-FzWUmSx8uLhO=
MMVq4Bh6llUED-yQdI$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...JAN...

LAT...LON   31428985 31649013 31909020 32119006 32168977 32108940
            32248893 32408854 32468815 32298767 32058723 31798709
            31458719 31208760 31178851 31428985=20


=3D =3D =3D
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