Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1119
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sat Jun 17 2023 01:41:32

ACUS11 KWNS 170141
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 170140=20
FLZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-170345-

Mesoscale Discussion 1119
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0840 PM CDT Fri Jun 16 2023

Areas affected...southern Alabama and Mississippi into the western
Florida Panhandle.

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 320...

Valid 170140Z - 170345Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 320
continues.

SUMMARY...The risk for large hail and damaging winds continues
across WW320. Damaging wind potential may be increasing across
southwest AL in the next 1-2 hours.

DISCUSSION...Ongoing severe storms across portions of WW320 have
continued to maintain intensity with numerous reports of large hail
from supercells in northwest and southeastern MS. The severe risk
will likely continue this evening with large buoyancy and vertical
shear still plentiful for organized supercells capable of large to
very large hail. The second cluster of storms across western AL have
grown upscale over the last hour. Hints of a bowing structure and
stronger radial velocities aloft suggest the cold pool is likely
intensifying, aiding in further upscale growth. Vertical shear and
buoyancy remain favorable for strong updraft maintenance this
evening with an increasing risk for damaging winds in addition to
hail across portions of southwestern AL over the next couple of
hours.

...Lyons.. 06/17/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!_FaXps_yu21YG2BM3-oZUVpsJs11iUFaA6oxLs9IeWntwHYVC7_TpswVwRKHWXo8g8jpftpeq=
ed3m4NQb1ZIejVCp2E$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...TAE...BMX...MOB...MEG...JAN...LIX...

LAT...LON   32758714 31598640 31058625 30688625 30358635 30248726
            30098826 30138882 30428908 31908962 32769036 33009076
            33239093 33749093 33969069 32758714=20


=3D =3D =3D
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