Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1114
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Fri Jun 16 2023 21:51:29

ACUS11 KWNS 162151
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 162151=20
KSZ000-COZ000-162315-

Mesoscale Discussion 1114
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0451 PM CDT Fri Jun 16 2023

Areas affected...east-central Colorado

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 319...

Valid 162151Z - 162315Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 319
continues.

SUMMARY...Storms are expected to increase in coverage and intensity
across Severe Thunderstorm Watch 319 over the next couple of hours.
Severe hail and damaging winds will be the primary threats.

DISCUSSION...A nose of ascent ahead of a midlevel speed max is
evident in water vapor imagery across southern Colorado.  This has
aided in additional thunderstorm initiation across the area over the
past hour.  These initially discrete storms will pose a threat of
large hail and damaging winds as they move into better
moisture/instability farther east over the plains.  As the number of
storms increases across the area and cold pools begin to merge, one
or more convective clusters/lines may evolve eastward posing a
primary threat of severe wind.

...Jirak/Grams.. 06/16/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!5nU_UnWYd9gCf4_LCGonfZWmWR3TF1eIjRKM126HJI2S9sGkEHZXGu-MkcwNMekJBojwkPFEE=
tXP6u1bc8s9kjNIxQc$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...GLD...PUB...BOU...

LAT...LON   37730421 37950466 38230505 39070509 39370425 39510296
            39510208 39250190 38980175 38490187 38160217 37840291
            37730421=20


=3D =3D =3D
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