Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1105
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Fri Jun 16 2023 18:44:57

ACUS11 KWNS 161844
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 161844=20
MDZ000-VAZ000-162015-

Mesoscale Discussion 1105
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0144 PM CDT Fri Jun 16 2023

Areas affected...Portions of eastern Virginia into southern Maryland

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 318...

Valid 161844Z - 162015Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 318
continues.

SUMMARY...The severe threat continues across Severe Thunderstorm
Watch 318. Damaging gusts and large hail will remain the primary
threats with the stronger storms.

DISCUSSION...MRMS mosaic radar imagery depicts short line segments
and supercells in progress across portions of central and eastern
Virginia, with MRMS-MESH detecting potential swaths of hail
occasionally reaching 1-inch in diameter. These storms are
progressing over 8-9 C/km low-level lapse rates (given surface
temperatures well into the 80s F), supporting a continued risk of
damaging gusts through the afternoon. The more persistent supercell
structures may also support an instance or two of large hail.

...Squitieri.. 06/16/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!6vIPDg4Aw0YKEPb5lY9ooWeTE8v1zQF-tm65qJnfgwVzo9o7sEhmg_kmOTzDF6VhiS6xw7AKE=
v4DRgmq-V-pfD1Pqc8$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...LWX...RNK...

LAT...LON   36587606 36597820 36897870 37437862 38067820 38297713
            38337625 38217554 38037502 37677517 37337558 36747579
            36587606=20


=3D =3D =3D
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