Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1088
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Fri Jun 16 2023 00:11:19

ACUS11 KWNS 160011
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 160010=20
OKZ000-KSZ000-TXZ000-160215-

Mesoscale Discussion 1088
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0710 PM CDT Thu Jun 15 2023

Areas affected...south-central Kansas and northwestern Oklahoma

Concerning...Tornado Watch 307...

Valid 160010Z - 160215Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 307 continues.

SUMMARY...A significant severe weather threat, including all hazards
(tornado, hail, and wind), will continue over the next few hours
mainly across northwestern Oklahoma.

DISCUSSION...A severe MCS with a history of producing
significant-severe wind gusts across southwestern Kansas is
continuing to move eastward while semi-discrete supercells have
formed at the southern end of the line producing tornadoes and large
hail.  The northern end of the MCS will encounter decreasing
instability and increasing inhibition across south-central Kansas
over the next couple of hours leading to eventual weakening of the
northern end of the MCS.  Meanwhile, larger instability and weaker
inhibition into west-central Oklahoma will continue to promote
supercell development at the southern end of the line with tornado
and large-hail potential.  The net effect should be more of a
southeastward propagation of the MCS toward central Oklahoma with
the most intense convection and supercellular characteristics at the
southern end of the line over the next few hours.

...Jirak/Grams.. 06/16/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!4JX0DmKYauJkZhF9nvc_QiRPYelmOrb3Vw_8gUCzvpfX8bZ5nbzvhF6daC4FVRqrtxCB92cWS=
n0ix0Eq283tXagJVdU$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...ICT...OUN...DDC...AMA...

LAT...LON   35770006 36229982 36919945 37479937 37729920 37769867
            37699816 37399794 36879780 36299766 35809758 35419777
            35239816 35279898 35489950 35770006=20


=3D =3D =3D
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