Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1056
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Thu Jun 15 2023 00:08:35

ACUS11 KWNS 150008
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 150007=20
FLZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-150130-

Mesoscale Discussion 1056
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0707 PM CDT Wed Jun 14 2023

Areas affected...Southwest Georgia and the eastern Florida
Panhandle.

Concerning...Tornado Watch 298...

Valid 150007Z - 150130Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 298 continues.

SUMMARY...An enhanced swatch of severe wind gusts (potentially
hurricane force) is expected into the Florida Panhandle.

DISCUSSION...An organized bow echo has recently developed and is
accelerating southeast toward southwest Georgia and the eastern
Florida Panhandle. Recent reports have been received of 65 to 70 mph
wind gusts near the apex of this bow. However, even stronger winds
may be possible over the next hour as this bow echo matures further.
The EOX VWP is sampling the rear inflow jet around 65 knots at 2km
and base velocities at the apex of the bow continue to increase.

Additionally, a very strong core aloft has developed near the apex
with 1.5 inch MRMS MESH. This could result in some wind-driven hail,
but more concerning could be further acceleration of surface winds
at the apex of the bow as this core collapses, leading to a narrow
corridor of very strong winds (potentially 80+ mph) at the surface.

...Bentley.. 06/15/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!7odvj3QP_L4ooBcvIYv9HlRhewKRT5a5vTsscM1AMkr60wd648hqgC-AKiWrH6vj5HoBNnhjc=
7OmHEVKk3BO_fBnea8$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...TAE...

LAT...LON   31518515 31098435 30728377 30518369 30168383 30068418
            30368493 30948541 31138553 31348559 31518515=20


=3D =3D =3D
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