Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1043
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Wed Jun 14 2023 19:21:31

ACUS11 KWNS 141921
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 141920=20
GAZ000-142015-

Mesoscale Discussion 1043
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0220 PM CDT Wed Jun 14 2023

Areas affected...portions of southern GA

Concerning...Tornado Watch 291...292...

Valid 141920Z - 142015Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 291, 292 continues.

SUMMARY...A corridor of greater tornado potential may be evolving
across portions of southern GA. Longer-lived supercells will likely
continue with a risk for large hail and tornadoes (possibly strong)
for the next couple of hours.

DISCUSSION...Over the last 90 minutes, two supercells across Baker
and Lee counties in southern GA have become better organized with
strong low-level mesocyclones and a few reports of tornadoes.
Located along a convectively reinforced front, a localized corridor
of higher tornado potential may be evolving ahead of these storms
across southern GA. Backed surface flow enhancing 0-1 km SRH
(150-200 m2/s2) is helping to support STP values of 3 to 4 along the
eat-west oriented front. Favorable storm motions will keep these
relatively isolated supercells near the zone of enhanced low-level
shear for the next couple of hours. Thus, a locally higher risk for
tornadoes (some potentially strong) may evolve with these storms
over the next couple of hours.

...Lyons.. 06/14/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!5ucJe7S9ETpDYWDkPsjUD47QLRDqWd95YRsCfvgXyskbTK4T8Q44JGh1ZGKzfivkAIH12UOgb=
HED_z3ZkQRLX--7dg4$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...JAX...FFC...TAE...

LAT...LON   31038430 31318450 31798424 31948366 31938330 31878307
            31748292 31428293 31098300 30928319 30958365 30978402
            31038430=20


=3D =3D =3D
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