Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1024
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Tue Jun 13 2023 23:58:19

ACUS11 KWNS 132358
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 132357=20
TXZ000-140100-

Mesoscale Discussion 1024
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0657 PM CDT Tue Jun 13 2023

Areas affected...Portions of the Texas Panhandle

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 283...

Valid 132357Z - 140100Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 283
continues.

SUMMARY...A supercell with very large hail (perhaps wind-driven)
will persist through the evening.

DISCUSSION...A long-lived supercell continues southeast across the
Texas Panhandle. This storm has a history of producing large to very
large hail (as large as 4 inches near Dalhart). The downstream
environment remains similar with around 1500 J/kg MUCAPE and
effective shear around 70 knots. This should continue to support a
sustained, strong supercell through the evening with a threat for
large hail. While no severe wind reports have been received, the
reflectivity structure is analogous to past wind-driven hail
supercells.

...Bentley.. 06/13/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!7SWFpyl7twRd_WRvRC89vePqM8IgcjoT4zHwdCVxc9bnoiuGoX0lj1E9IaqY2ZsCLw4QLmrSu=
qWr59kra-sB88Eeae4$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...AMA...

LAT...LON   35280000 35020001 35070076 35250163 35640195 35890183
            36070143 35900006 35280000=20


=3D =3D =3D
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