Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1002
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Mon Jun 12 2023 20:53:39

ACUS11 KWNS 122053
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 122053=20
OKZ000-COZ000-TXZ000-NMZ000-122230-

Mesoscale Discussion 1002
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0353 PM CDT Mon Jun 12 2023

Areas affected...Portions of eastern CO and northeastern NM

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 276...

Valid 122053Z - 122230Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 276
continues.

SUMMARY...Large hail and severe/damaging wind gusts will remain
possible with thunderstorms spreading eastward this afternoon/early
evening.

DISCUSSION...Convection has developed this afternoon across eastern
CO and northeastern NM in a modest low-level upslope flow regime.
Even though instability remains fairly limited, deep-layer shear of
40+ kt will remain favorable for updraft organization, including
isolated supercells. Large hail will remain the primary severe
threat with the more discrete convection across northeastern NM in
the short term. Thunderstorms across eastern CO have recently
congealed into a small cluster, which may pose more of a strong to
locally severe wind threat as it develops eastward. The eastern
extent of appreciable severe potential should be constrained by
persistent cloud cover across the western OK/TX Panhandles and
western KS.

...Gleason.. 06/12/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!_chi_JAbdpLALwclFligYaoozFX9UQFgMNANI0nUqbIyS0xiN7HvBp7ZndULu2_qQ0YzExIAD=
5DXuwaqi3IslB31330$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...GLD...AMA...PUB...BOU...ABQ...

LAT...LON   35410485 36010439 36590438 38200486 38970426 39310360
            39220231 38350221 37210246 36950290 35360315 35240403
            35410485=20


=3D =3D =3D
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