Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0986
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Mon Jun 12 2023 02:06:31

ACUS11 KWNS 120206
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 120205=20
TXZ000-OKZ000-COZ000-NMZ000-120400-

Mesoscale Discussion 0986
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0905 PM CDT Sun Jun 11 2023

Areas affected...southern High Plains region

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 267...

Valid 120205Z - 120400Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 267
continues.

SUMMARY...Severe risk continues across areas in/near the southern
half of WW 267, with local risk expected to persist beyond the
scheduled 12/03Z expiration of the watch.  New WW may be required.

DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows isolated strong/severe storms
ongoing over the southern Plains region, from northeastern New
Mexico into the Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles.  The storms are
ongoing within/near an axis of 1000 to 2000 J/kg mixed layer CAPE,
that extends from southeastern Colorado to the Texas Panhandle/South
Plains area, near and to the cool side of the backdoor cold front.=20
With 40 to 50 kt mid-level flow across this region, and a 40 kt
southeasterly low-level jet expected to evolve over the next few
hours, potential for continued/isolated storm development is
evident.  Therefore, with hail risk potentially continuing for
several hours locally, new WW issuance may be required.

...Goss.. 06/12/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!6A3b5Zz5P6HzHsAOkC2rCJlRUIwD0zIQl7sLMG87Wrl_6IfgWmy9b4B3GpeagMyrKBuifRKQG=
uUPgzqwoNtHItPxFQY$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LUB...AMA...PUB...ABQ...

LAT...LON   36000604 36900566 37420485 36760117 35740017 34550054
            34270154 34740214 35930440 36000604=20


=3D =3D =3D
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