Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0971
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sun Jun 11 2023 02:31:21

ACUS11 KWNS 110231
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 110230=20
KSZ000-NEZ000-COZ000-110400-

Mesoscale Discussion 0971
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0930 PM CDT Sat Jun 10 2023

Areas affected...Northwest Kansas

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 110230Z - 110400Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

SUMMARY...Severe wind gusts are possible late this evening into the
early overnight hours.

DISCUSSION...A cluster of storms across northeast Colorado has
congealed into a small bowing segment which is now moving into
northwest Kansas. Wind gusts of 55 to 60 mph have been measured at a
few sites within the last hour. A moderately strong cold pool has
developed with temperatures in the upper 50s within the stratiform
precipitation. Therefore, expect an isolated severe wind threat to
continue as this storm cluster moves southeast toward increasing
instability and improving shear.=20

Given convective trends, the isolated nature of the threat, and
waning instability, a watch is unlikely.

...Bentley/Hart.. 06/11/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!_Ip5gcNLzEuPAYFrCdVV6uxIX2dRxXLpDSMeHG21EcZALp_VAuUPJEE59bbPzPieLzjp4v-Hd=
TSEnLZF-w2Bbbwzf6Y$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...GID...DDC...GLD...

LAT...LON   38460117 39030216 39530223 39980201 40080142 39910053
            39379916 38649908 38339927 38240007 38460117=20


=3D =3D =3D
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