Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sat Jun 10 2023 01:01:13

ACUS01 KWNS 100101
SWODY1
SPC AC 100059

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0759 PM CDT Fri Jun 09 2023

Valid 100100Z - 101200Z

....THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
SOUTHWESTERN KANSAS...NORTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA...AND PORTIONS OF THE
TEXAS/OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES...

....SUMMARY...
Locally damaging winds, and some hail, will be possible this evening
within an area centered over southwestern Kansas, parts of the
Oklahoma and Texas Panhandles, and into northwestern Oklahoma.

....Parts of the southwestern Kansas/northwestern Oklahoma and
Panhandles region...
Latest CAM runs continue to indicate that isolated convection
ongoing across portions of the southeastern Colorado/northeastern
New Mexico vicinity will eventually grow upscale into a
southeastward-moving MCS.  This seems feasible given the progged
evolution of a southeasterly low-level jet over the next several
hours.  With Locally damaging winds potentially becoming more likely
given this scenario, will expand the SLGT risk area a bit eastward
this update.

....Portions of the Rio Grande Valley near the Big Bend...
Isolated strong storms -- a couple of the strongest ones capable of
producing severe-caliber hail/wind -- are ongoing across portions
Texas and adjacent northern Mexico, centered on the Big Bend area.
Coverage should remain isolated, and a general/gradual decrease in
severe risk is expected later this evening.  Until then, MRGL risk
will persist across this area.

...Goss.. 06/10/2023

$$

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