Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0956
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Thu Jun 08 2023 22:36:02

ACUS11 KWNS 082235
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 082235=20
TXZ000-090100-

Mesoscale Discussion 0956
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0535 PM CDT Thu Jun 08 2023

Areas affected...Southeast Texas

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 082235Z - 090100Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...An isolated wind-damage threat, along with hail will be
possible with storms in the Houston area over the next 1 to 2 hours.
The threat should be too marginal for weather watch issuance.

DISCUSSION...Latest water vapor imagery shows a shortwave trough in
east-central Texas. Lift associated with the trough is supporting a
convective cluster in the Houston area. At the surface, an outflow
boundary is moving southward across southern Harris county. The
storms are located near and to the north of this outflow boundary.
In spite of this, surface dewpoints are in the upper 60s F to near
70 F in the Houston area, which is creating moderate instability.
This combined with steep low-level lapse rates near 7.0 C/km
according to the RAP should be enough for a marginal wind-damage
threat over the next hour or two. Hail could also accompany the
stronger cells.

...Broyles/Hart.. 06/08/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!_KHFTrLPS0Czdgi3WWSIcc9zvMQjcuBEeoRb68kke8PZeCvwdkb2KoBsbMYss_H5XpVFDe3Y7=
qFxtJX5rwXDls-NL30$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LCH...HGX...

LAT...LON   29309517 29439568 29769590 30099581 30329541 30309491
            30129453 29779439 29499461 29309517=20


=3D =3D =3D
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