Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Thu Jun 08 2023 00:59:55

ACUS01 KWNS 080059
SWODY1
SPC AC 080058

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0758 PM CDT Wed Jun 07 2023

Valid 080100Z - 081200Z

....THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS VICINITY...

....SUMMARY...
A few thunderstorms capable of producing gusty winds and hail will
persist for a few more hours across portions of eastern New Mexico
and adjacent western Texas.

....Southern High Plains south to the Rio Grande...
Thunderstorms are ongoing at this time from portions of northeastern
New Mexico southward to the Texas Big Bend area, within an airmass
that remains moderately unstable (1000 to 2000 J/kg mixed-layer
CAPE).

With moderate mid-level westerly flow atop the area, and some
increase in southeasterly low-level winds expected in the next few
hours, storms should persist, with some attendant risk for locally
gusty/damaging winds and marginal hail with a couple of the
strongest storms.  One cell in particular -- currently on the
Brewster/Pecos County line -- is likely producing hail in excess of
severe levels, but will continue moving southward and eventually
across the Rio Grande into Mexico.  By mid to late evening, a
diurnal decrease in storm intensity should bring any lingering
severe risk to an end.

...Goss.. 06/08/2023

$$

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