Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0942
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Tue Jun 06 2023 19:13:13

ACUS11 KWNS 061913
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 061912=20
UTZ000-IDZ000-NVZ000-CAZ000-062115-

Mesoscale Discussion 0942
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0212 PM CDT Tue Jun 06 2023

Areas affected...portions of northern California...north and central
Nevada...and western Utah

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 061912Z - 062115Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

SUMMARY...Thunderstorms may produce hail and gusty winds through the
afternoon.

DISCUSSION...Thunderstorm development has been noted across portions
of northern California, north-central Nevada, and northern Utah in
the last hour. Temperatures have warmed quickly with little cloud
cover through the morning. Modifying the 12z soundings from LKN and
SLC produces a deeply mixed boundary layer with steep lapse rates
through the profile. Surface objective analysis indicates MLCAPE
around 500 J/kg amid modest deep layer shear around 30-35 kts. This
environment will favor multi-cell clusters, with potential for a few
instances of severe wind and hail. Given the lack of deeper
moisture, the spatial extent of this threat will likely remain too
small for watch issuance.

...Thornton/Grams.. 06/06/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!494I5DuS8acNzXDWEc6BYMxf_TzfGBZjoEx5vNAG96_WwRRgMTspuRXMTvfRBGnw1Zs8VW_50=
gJeil_vsYtXG1zPefc$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...SLC...PIH...BOI...LKN...REV...HNX...STO...

LAT...LON   39242097 39812079 40511994 41091875 41611778 41831654
            42161425 42121293 41811223 41551200 40891152 40231159
            39821181 39481204 39371234 39571354 39571492 39391630
            39231703 38851775 38241871 38201878 38051898 37981927
            37931949 38122012 39242097=20


=3D =3D =3D
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