Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0886
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sat May 27 2023 22:04:01

ACUS11 KWNS 272203
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 272203=20
KSZ000-COZ000-280000-

Mesoscale Discussion 0886
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0503 PM CDT Sat May 27 2023

Areas affected...East-central Colorado into west-central Kansas

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 272203Z - 280000Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Large hail and isolated damaging winds are possible into
early evening with a small cluster of storms in east-central
Colorado.

DISCUSSION...A cluster of storms with occasional supercell
characteristics continues northeastward in east-central Colorado.
Dewpoints have mixed out to the low to mid 50s F, supportive of
around 1000 J/kg MLCAPE. Effective shear is a modest 30-35 kts, but
will be sufficient to maintain some potential for additional
rotating updrafts. The primary threats will be large hail and
isolated damaging winds. While the low-level hodographs are not
particularly large, discrete storms that persist to near the Kansas
border will eventually be impacted by modestly increasing 850 mb
southeasterly winds. A narrow window for a brief tornado will exist
over the next couple of hours should storms maintain intensity.

...Wendt/Grams.. 05/27/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!88pcsQ5iLrcQ4d598t-MgIpnO6igCuqVaDmkQIJDFC1AfUUNvzbLtugU6qVhAxOb-Qc9lekHC=
5SjW6prbQuCAjISrxw$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...GLD...PUB...BOU...

LAT...LON   38060321 38540338 38980302 39130210 38860159 38550164
            38080238 38020291 38060321=20


=3D =3D =3D
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