Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0880
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sat May 27 2023 02:54:24

ACUS11 KWNS 270254
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 270253=20
TXZ000-NMZ000-270500-

Mesoscale Discussion 0880
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0953 PM CDT Fri May 26 2023

Areas affected...much of eastern New Mexico...and southwest into
west Texas

Concerning...Tornado Watch 241...

Valid 270253Z - 270500Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 241 continues.

SUMMARY...The threat for mainly large hail and localized wind damage
is expected to persist from portions of eastern New Mexico into
western Texas, and a new watch may be needed prior to 04Z. A brief
tornado cannot be ruled out.

DISCUSSION...Slow-moving, meandering storms persist over mainly two
areas. The first is over east-central NM near western portions of an
old outflow boundary. This area of convergence intersects an axis of
instability extending north out of southwest TX. Gusty southeasterly
surface winds are maintaining boundary-layer mixing, and helping to
keep surface temperatures relatively warm, up to around 80 F.

Another more active area has been over southwest TX, where numerous
storms persist, some splitting. Recently, a storm or two has shown
signs of hail over 2.00" diameter.

Given the aforementioned boundary-layer mixing, and ample/deep
moisture profiles, convective inhibition should remain low enough
for storms to persist for several more hours. As such, a new watch
will need to be considered for later tonight.

...Jewell.. 05/27/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!_7fnqRTqjaIeUiQCHdWKGBrOju6HQ7u4gao6pCwS8kb9PxT2qbZkWNCSkGE0nPNcvNl-m2vuD=
YUzKyF6a3ji6GLe0RY$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...SJT...LUB...AMA...MAF...ABQ...

LAT...LON   29760255 29700279 29640321 29910385 30360448 31040470
            32170474 33570484 34250524 34730527 34950487 35070403
            34960331 34740277 34450232 34290209 31970202 29760255=20


=3D =3D =3D
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