Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0867 To : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu From : COD Weather Processor Date : Thu May 25 2023 22:50:40 ACUS11 KWNS 252250 SWOMCD SPC MCD 252249=20 TXZ000-260045- Mesoscale Discussion 0867 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0549 PM CDT Thu May 25 2023 Areas affected...Trans-Pecos/Big Bend Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 237... Valid 252249Z - 260045Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 237 continues. SUMMARY...An isolated threat for large hail and damaging winds will likely persist for another 2-3 hours. DISCUSSION...The strongest activity within WW 237 remains a supercell moving southeast, south of Marfa. However, this storm has shown a weakening trend on the MRMS 7 and 9 km CAPPI. With storm outflow pushing into the Davis Mountains, the most likely areas for additional storm development will be along that outflow boundary arcing westward from the weakening storm. There will be a very modest increase in the low-level jet in the region. It does not appear likely, though, that convective coverage will increase given that nocturnal stabilization will have begun prior to the jet strengthening. The overall severe threat is expected to remain somewhat isolated, with large hail and damaging winds the primary threats over the next 2-3 hours. ...Wendt.. 05/25/2023 ....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!-vDk4C1BWolmXwsRNPZQszK9nEc55_LcxU0kXwLUaILpE7fgpgkuyjE1OFmMvghDMeNFKRSt1= RkHmYFShCQ65ixBDHQ$ for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...MAF...EPZ... LAT...LON 30660331 30890388 30880432 31020468 31060498 30750507 30620496 30210482 29620443 28980345 28940314 29300265 29800265 30660331=20 =3D =3D =3D To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM. --- SBBSecho 3.14-Linux * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105) .