Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0861
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Thu May 25 2023 03:38:38

ACUS11 KWNS 250338
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 250337=20
TXZ000-NMZ000-250530-

Mesoscale Discussion 0861
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1037 PM CDT Wed May 24 2023

Areas affected...far eastern New Mexico and northwestern Texas

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 236...

Valid 250337Z - 250530Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 236
continues.

SUMMARY...Severe threat continues within WW236. Potential for large
hail, damaging wind, and a tornado or two continues.

DISCUSSION...An increase in the low-level jet has been noted in
observations from KMAF and KLBB over the last couple of hours. An
intense embedded supercell feature continues to move southward along
the axis of strong MLCAPE within deep-layer shear around 50 kts.
This has continued to produce strong gusts to around 60 mph and
large hail around 1-2 inches. A thunderstorm just south of this has
intensified quickly and will be merging with the larger complex. The
threat for a tornado or two continues, as increasing low-level flow
has led to more hodograph curvature in the bottom 1-2 km of noted at
KLBB. This could be further aided by near storm
interactions/mergers. Further development continues to be ongoing to
the west of the lead cell, with potential for further training
transient supercell development into the evening.

...Thornton/Edwards.. 05/25/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!7UMlr9bvoCQNJ5q00b9AtXJ0TlA5QusZ6a34u_cufIA2xo1ZITF8DIJvlIxDzpjTogLm-CcKt=
TTkI-gL7gASD62EKp0$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LUB...AMA...MAF...ABQ...

LAT...LON   34530166 34270119 33970114 33450138 33170156 32930177
            32830216 32820238 32830276 32900307 33010334 33150364
            33280372 33900388 33980388 34080393 34170396 34200397
            34470400 34670377 34830348 34940302 34960274 34820219
            34530166=20


=3D =3D =3D
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