Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0851
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Wed May 24 2023 04:40:25

ACUS11 KWNS 240440
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 240439=20
TXZ000-OKZ000-240615-

Mesoscale Discussion 0851
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1139 PM CDT Tue May 23 2023

Areas affected...West Central/Northwest Texas

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 234...

Valid 240439Z - 240615Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 234
continues.

SUMMARY...Strong/severe thunderstorms will progress across the
remainder of ww234 over the next several hours. Wind/hail threat
continues. Local extensions or a small severe thunderstorm watch may
be warranted.

DISCUSSION...Weak mid-level disturbance that drifted into the
southern High Plains this afternoon appears partly responsible for
the MCS that evolved over the TX South Plains early this evening.
This complex of storms has matured into a large conglomerate of
convection that extends across much of the central/western portions
of ww234. Northwesterly flow at mid levels should aid southeastward
propagation along the instability axis, which extends into the
northern Hill Country. While some hail is noted in the stronger
updrafts, convective mode favors strong winds, especially along the
leading edge of the MCS where where bow-type structures continue to
develop at times. At this time it appears the strongest convection
will continue to drive toward the southeastern portions of the
watch.

...Darrow.. 05/24/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!8QaB3mQS3unDK_SihRzjBH8qcB32S4qfv7S_YwnvhoONkG7xCA7Hr-utzQTy8i_R6F1Aty8rV=
3JXfLfcLKnKIeqEJus$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...EWX...SJT...LUB...MAF...

LAT...LON   31140078 34460078 34159805 30829804 31140078=20


=3D =3D =3D
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