Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0826
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Fri May 19 2023 22:49:49

ACUS11 KWNS 192249
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 192249=20
TXZ000-200015-

Mesoscale Discussion 0826
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0549 PM CDT Fri May 19 2023

Areas affected...portions of northern and central Texas

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 228...

Valid 192249Z - 200015Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 228
continues.

SUMMARY...Severe threat continues within WW228.

DISCUSSION...Radar analysis shows ongoing storms within WW228 near
the Metroplex have weakened as remnant outflow has begun to drift
back to the west and storms move into relatively less MLCAPE beneath
some shallow mid-level CIN. These storms will still be capable of
occasional hail and gusty winds as they continue eastward as a few
more hours of daytime heating can be expected.=20

Within the southern fringe of the watch, more robust storms are
ongoing with further development expected along the border with
WW229. In this region, MLCAPE around 2000-2500 J/kg and deep layer
shear around 30-35 kts will support a continued risk of large hail
(with a few instances up to 2+ inches) and damaging winds over the
next couple of hours.

...Thornton/Guyer.. 05/19/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!-bc5M0mdTuhAB_Yy9G6KMaFO62QFvFXIe35Nf4wPd0cVbeuQfETxU-dmNG7ky3blfqyC7jfzV=
hOPzEH5qpqosFvf1SM$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...SHV...FWD...EWX...SJT...

LAT...LON   31419907 31879822 32559743 33099695 33239650 33239615
            33179565 32989559 32729575 32509591 32289609 31549679
            30899733 30879768 31309905 31419907=20


=3D =3D =3D
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