Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Fri May 19 2023 01:02:13

ACUS01 KWNS 190102
SWODY1
SPC AC 190100

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0800 PM CDT Thu May 18 2023

Valid 190100Z - 191200Z

....THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF THE
TX PANHANDLE...

....SUMMARY...
Isolated severe thunderstorms remain possible tonight across parts
of the southern High Plains. Large hail and localized severe gusts
are the primary hazards.

....Southern High Plains...
Isolated supercells are ongoing this evening across parts of the TX
Panhandle, within an environment characterized by moderate buoyancy
(MLCAPE of 750-1500 J/kg), veering wind profiles, and sufficient
effective shear (25-35 kt) for some storm organization. A modestly
increasing low-level jet will likely support some upscale growth
later this evening, with large hail and isolated severe gusts
remaining a threat into late evening. Increasing MLCINH will
eventually lead to a diminishing threat with time, though some risk
for isolated hail and/or damaging gusts may spread into western OK
overnight.

See MCD 818 for more information regarding the short-term severe
threat in the TX Panhandle.

...Dean.. 05/19/2023

$$

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