Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0756
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Wed May 10 2023 20:28:41

ACUS11 KWNS 102028
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 102027=20
LAZ000-102200-

Mesoscale Discussion 0756
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0327 PM CDT Wed May 10 2023

Areas affected...south-central Louisiana

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 102027Z - 102200Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

SUMMARY...Cannot rule out a tornado this afternoon/evening across
south-central Louisiana.

DISCUSSION...Several transient supercell structures have translated
across the Gulf Coast of Louisiana today. In the last few hours 0-1
km SRH has increased to over 300 m2/s2 per LCH VWP. This may
increase further into the evening as a MCV over the Gulf lifts
northward. Thus far, low-level circulations have been quite weak,
likely due to weak low-level flow. However, if some stronger
low-level flow develops as this MCV approaches the coast, the
tornado threat could increase.=20

Given the isolated/marginal threat, a watch is unlikely.

...Bentley/Guyer.. 05/10/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!7UgnCK-YVr5cP_nsFGUQTreZ1nPUnBEHVwsd91p7G11sX-dEvSynwIzH7txf0doIysLyj4CBu=
fyLYVV-yHlF-IHtIIA$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LCH...

LAT...LON   29599283 30029271 30299240 30409209 30179184 29799172
            29489191 29469240 29599283=20


=3D =3D =3D
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