Subj : DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Wed May 10 2023 08:49:57

ACUS48 KWNS 100849
SWOD48
SPC AC 100847

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0347 AM CDT Wed May 10 2023

Valid 131200Z - 181200Z

....DISCUSSION...
Remnant convection will likely be ongoing across portions of
southern Texas Saturday morning (Day 4), possibly accompanied
locally by some wind potential.  Uncertainty as to evolution
precludes inclusion of a risk area at this time.

Meanwhile, as a blocking pattern evolves across western North
America, little potential for organized severe weather is evident --
given slack flow aloft and only weak cyclonic perturbations moving
through the flow.

At this time, the most likely area for some severe risk would be in
the East, later in the period, as a trough amplifies in response to
the western ridging, and a backdoor-type cold front advances
southward.  However, the predictability of the overall pattern
evolution appears to be low, precluding any confident assessment of
convective/severe potential in any given area through the end of the
period.

...Goss.. 05/10/2023

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