Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0753
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Wed May 10 2023 06:18:39

ACUS11 KWNS 100618
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 100617=20
NEZ000-COZ000-WYZ000-100715-

Mesoscale Discussion 0753
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0117 AM CDT Wed May 10 2023

Areas affected...Northeast Colorado...far southeast Wyoming...and
the Nebraska Panhandle

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 100617Z - 100715Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Isolated thunderstorms continue across the region posing a
risk for large hail.

DISCUSSION...Thunderstorms continue this morning across the area
within a broad, moist upslope regime. Additionally, increasing
large-scale ascent/height falls are overspreading the area,
supporting/maintaining ongoing thunderstorms. The thermodynamic
(CAPE around 1000 J/kg) and kinematic (effective-layer shear around
40 knots) environment will remain favorable for large hail and gusty
thunderstorm outflows. In particular, a thunderstorm complex along
the I-25 corridor in northeast Colorado has maximum MESH values
exceeding 2 inches within the past hour. This complex may continue
to produce large hail for a couple more hours before weakening as it
moves farther into the plains of northeast Colorado. Elsewhere, the
large hail and gusty wind threat should remain more episodic,
governed by storm-scale processes. As such, the limited
spatio-temporal nature of the overall threat should preclude the
need for a severe thunderstorm watch.

...Marsh/Grams.. 05/10/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!_cCCp8c_VAKaVpL3zoSMlfIpGq9uhxuRtfntmUUOouEHRDsFTS2tlGrCdzwabmURVlmYoeN0b=
l1fjqfDYVferX_MiSI$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LBF...BOU...CYS...

LAT...LON   40110543 41180505 42130409 42240310 41630220 40710227
            40010370 39810492 40110543=20


=3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to
https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link.  Otherwise email
Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.14-Linux
 * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

.