Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0746
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Tue May 09 2023 20:53:02

ACUS11 KWNS 092052
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 092052=20
NCZ000-VAZ000-092215-

Mesoscale Discussion 0746
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0352 PM CDT Tue May 09 2023

Areas affected...Eastern North Carolina and southeast Virginia

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 205...

Valid 092052Z - 092215Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 205
continues.

SUMMARY...The severe weather threat will continue into the evening
across southeast Virginia and eastern North Carolina.

DISCUSSION...There have been several severe hail reports and at
least one damaging wind report across portions of eastern North
Carolina where a few supercells have developed and moved southeast.
These storms will continue to pose a severe weather threat as they
move southeast as the environment becomes increasingly favorable.

Farther north, storms along the front are less organized thus far.
Likely due to weaker instability in the region with temperatures
only near 80F with dewpoints near 60F. These storms could increase
in severe weather potential as they move southeast toward better
instability, but likely will not pose as great of a severe weather
threat as the supercells farther south.

These storms are closely tied to diurnal heating and will likely
start to wane by mid to late evening as the boundary layer cools.

...Bentley.. 05/09/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!5ZpPDO455yzRMRPLNTysee6yaTJrHYTA87HyoMNHn2o0T3WPBrxmk9D4ujSyTH1YLFZzvX6MI=
MLhG5WsUt0xV9ae5Hk$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...RNK...

LAT...LON   37027882 37337845 36977687 35577589 34567608 34267692
            34167750 34307793 34587828 34987850 35667861 37027882=20


=3D =3D =3D
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