Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0726
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Mon May 08 2023 04:52:16

ACUS11 KWNS 080452
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 080451=20
MOZ000-KSZ000-080645-

Mesoscale Discussion 0726
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1151 PM CDT Sun May 07 2023

Areas affected...northeast KS...northwest MO

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 199...201...

Valid 080451Z - 080645Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 199, 201
continues.

SUMMARY...The risk for isolated to widely scattered severe gusts
(60-70 mph) will continue into the overnight.

DISCUSSION...Radar mosaic shows a cluster of storms along the
leading edge of a composite front/outflow from I-70 in northeast KS
near Manhattan to St. Joseph, MO as of 1140pm.  The ASOS at Falls
City, NE and Beatrice NE observed 57-kt and 60-kt gusts,
respectively in the last hour.  A strong south-southwesterly 45-50
kt LLJ has strengthened this evening and is aiding in moisture
transport into the lower MO Valley.  It is within this region from
eastern KS into central MO where surface dewpoints have risen into
the mid-upper 60s amidst a reservoir of strong instability (3000
J/kg MUCAPE).  Although deep-layer shear is modest (30-35 kt 0-6 km
shear), sufficient organization of the cold pool for a couple of
line segments will favor a continued risk for severe gusts with the
stronger cores into the overnight.

...Smith.. 05/08/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!9JE2XvVQmz0JSs-rgGvrSiXT0HExSFpLR3hxiGBhd7spn0mpGeMvHpUvOCaUxapK9aaKk0zIm=
X4H00jMup8qBC3VMoA$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...EAX...TOP...

LAT...LON   38939699 39169669 39379556 40039499 40089327 39859317
            39549336 39229436 38699544 38619666 38729694 38939699=20


=3D =3D =3D
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