Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0717 To : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu From : COD Weather Processor Date : Sun May 07 2023 22:08:43 ACUS11 KWNS 072208 SWOMCD SPC MCD 072208=20 MSZ000-LAZ000-072345- Mesoscale Discussion 0717 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0508 PM CDT Sun May 07 2023 Areas affected...Parts of Mississippi Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20 Valid 072208Z - 072345Z Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent SUMMARY...Locally damaging gusts are/or marginally severe hail cannot be ruled out during the next hour or two. DISCUSSION...Latest radar data from DGX shows a few loosely organized clusters spreading eastward along the leading edge of an outflow boundary moving across parts of western MS. Earlier diurnal heating/destabilization of a moist boundary layer (upper 60s/lower 70s dewpoints) beneath steep midlevel lapse rates is favoring some intensification of this activity as it moves eastward this evening given around 30 kt of effective shear. Marginal hail and locally severe gusts may accompany some of these clusters as they continue eastward during the next hour or two -- prior to the onset of nocturnal stabilization. ...Weinman/Guyer.. 05/07/2023 ....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!-xcXH-odUBKG6nrA2THn7lIXmRtQHfF_UTPh5KYYha20MWkMRAKwJV-tiwdgpu4L7i9M6v6bl= A7MnJxYJjNsSiy3FYQ$ for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...MEG...JAN...LIX... LAT...LON 31589120 32499094 33649074 34329036 34479008 34508962 34438917 34248872 33968854 33068863 31928896 31198937 31048963 30999052 31079098 31249115 31589120=20 =3D =3D =3D To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM. --- SBBSecho 3.14-Linux * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105) .