Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0603
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sun Apr 23 2023 00:47:33

ACUS11 KWNS 230047
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 230046=20
TXZ000-230215-

Mesoscale Discussion 0603
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0746 PM CDT Sat Apr 22 2023

Areas affected...West-Central TX

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 162...

Valid 230046Z - 230215Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 162
continues.

SUMMARY...Scattered strong/severe storms will propagate south across
ww162 this evening. Hail remains the primary risk, although gusty
winds are also possible.

DISCUSSION...Frontal convection continues to propagate south as the
main synoptic boundary advances across the Edwards Plateau into the
northern Hill Country. Earlier supercell structures have become less
common and the majority of convection appears to be undercut by the
surging boundary. Even so, southeasterly low-level (lowest few km)
flow will continue to feed these updrafts and ongoing convection
should migrate along the instability axis. Gusty winds may accompany
the near-frontal convection with hail being the main threat with the
elevated cores. With time these storms should progress into the
northern Hill Country.

...Darrow.. 04/23/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!7YMoXPTIaaps1ZLAywlwmkypI96guzArfSXDSGBsUTJ8Y0JpDDSxt0-J0z54s3fUXUWBGutMI=
oRfbXBZwj5f223GNfU$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...EWX...SJT...MAF...

LAT...LON   32490120 31789792 30059793 30750120 32490120=20


=3D =3D =3D
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