Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0566
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Thu Apr 20 2023 01:17:07

ACUS11 KWNS 200117
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 200116=20
TXZ000-200245-

Mesoscale Discussion 0566
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0816 PM CDT Wed Apr 19 2023

Areas affected...portions of the Texas Low Rolling Plains

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 200116Z - 200245Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

SUMMARY...A large hail threat will persist for another 1 to 2 hours
across portions of the Texas Rolling Plains.

DISCUSSION...An isolated supercell has developed along the dryline
in Taylor county Texas this evening. MRMS MESH suggests hail up to
golf ball size is possible with this storm. The primary threat from
this storm and any other supercells which may develop in the next
hour will be large hail with dewpoints only in the upper 50s/lower
60s and 0-1 SRH only around 100-125 m2/s2 per DYX VWP. These storms
should be relatively short-lived with weakening expected within the
1 to 2 hour period as surface inhibition increases.

...Bentley/Guyer.. 04/20/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!_4brhQNpMg2Q29L2YaPUXwvMy0HkQcc8DbmI-D7KJNvwuZcH2ExVrropXK-YECI62gjdOiNTw=
TJuRlGVH3KFoZrNL98$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...

LAT...LON   32260012 32899969 33379918 33429880 33319838 32969830
            32189874 31889954 32090015 32260012=20


=3D =3D =3D
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