Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0547
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Mon Apr 17 2023 02:11:15

ACUS11 KWNS 170211
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 170210=20
FLZ000-170345-

Mesoscale Discussion 0547
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0910 PM CDT Sun Apr 16 2023

Areas affected...West-central into southwest FL

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 170210Z - 170345Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Isolated strong/damaging gusts and/or hail may accompany
stronger storms late this evening.

DISCUSSION...The remnant of a long-lived storm cluster is
approaching the FL Gulf Coast late this evening, with a modest
uptick in convective coverage and intensity noted over the last 1-2
hours. Moderate buoyancy and modest deep-layer shear (as noted on
the 00Z TBW sounding and recent mesoanalyses) will support some
storm organization, and isolated instances of hail and/or strong
damaging gusts will be possible with the more intense
cells/clusters. The greatest relative threat is expected over the
southwest FL Peninsula, where there is less influence from earlier
convection compared to areas farther north and east. At this time,
the threat is expected to remain too isolated and marginal for watch
issuance.

...Dean/Guyer.. 04/17/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!-l72bQ0MhaQDNz9Fd_BXjAubvt9E_f1qEIHvW1_y7d5FZrp2V0RzHNhBghRwGt5_mJquWbrpu=
ombu_vIO-1gV9AyaTQ$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MFL...TBW...

LAT...LON   25678138 26378237 26958267 27488285 27968276 27918219
            27518181 27198164 26388110 25878108 25678138=20


=3D =3D =3D
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