Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0541
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sun Apr 16 2023 02:48:49

ACUS11 KWNS 160248
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 160248=20
INZ000-KYZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-160415-

Mesoscale Discussion 0541
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0948 PM CDT Sat Apr 15 2023

Areas affected...Southeast IL...Southwest IN...Western KY

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 143...144...

Valid 160248Z - 160415Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 143, 144
continues.

SUMMARY...Isolated damaging gusts remain possible late this evening,
but the threat should continue to diminish with time.

DISCUSSION...A long-lived QLCS is gradually weakening late this
evening across southeast IL into western KY, as it encounters
weakening instability and increasing MLCINH. However, steep midlevel
lapse rates are still helping to maintain convection near and just
behind the gust front, and isolated damaging gusts will remain
possible until convection more definitively subsides later tonight.
Some small hail may also occur with the stronger embedded updrafts,
though the severe hail threat should continue to decrease with time.
With the ongoing weakening trend expected to continue, additional
downstream watch issuance is not anticipated.

...Dean/Bunting.. 04/16/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!-DS-W0bi1mC86dGp4beITWn6JZdox201U6AlMt-rN2Bck7aji2pPKeE-omcp1jaO9aRgJrmU4=
Fsa2ek6qOeLLkDgr9I$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...IND...PAH...ILX...

LAT...LON   36658926 37658880 38208822 38758803 39868834 39948764
            39298715 38418726 37128786 36658820 36508869 36658926=20


=3D =3D =3D
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