Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0530
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sat Apr 15 2023 20:57:32

ACUS11 KWNS 152057
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 152057=20
TXZ000-152300-

Mesoscale Discussion 0530
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0357 PM CDT Sat Apr 15 2023

Areas affected...Eastern Texas

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible=20

Valid 152057Z - 152300Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

SUMMARY...Thunderstorms posing a risk of damaging wind and hail are
expected to develop within the next couple of hours. A Severe
Thunderstorm watch is being considered.

DISCUSSION...Towering cumulus has been developing along an eastward
moving cold front in eastern Texas. Ahead of this development,
MLCAPE is approaching 3000-4000 J/kg. Effective shear is marginal,
around 20-30 kts. Initial development will pose a severe hail risk
before mode transitions to become more linear as forcing for ascent
increasing with eastward progression of the cold front. This area is
being monitored for a potential Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

...Thornton/Grams.. 04/15/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!9D_YAwkNDW4EVXXA6-Y8CSgRxmd6Rbi5PGVVafDSnvqtKEW3ZoSDeu0mvUOpgTifRDzbbs8DS=
BbbM2tqH22smWoDNCQ$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...SHV...HGX...FWD...EWX...

LAT...LON   31169718 31519684 32369607 32449531 32259482 32109469
            31759453 31409461 30979491 30619519 30529547 30339591
            30269623 30269654 30319691 30359700 30399702 31169718=20


=3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to
https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link.  Otherwise email
Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.14-Linux
 * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

.